Beware the march of the childless voter - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
FT商学院

Beware the march of the childless voter

JD Vance’s attack on people without kids flies in the face of demographic reality
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.379999999999999,"text":"I feel being a mum means you have a very real stake in the future of our country. "},{"start":12.684000000000001,"text":"I have children who are going to have children who will directly be a part of what happens next, so it really keeps you focused. "}],[{"start":19.38,"text":"Those 43 words were uttered in 2016 by the UK’s then energy minister, Andrea Leadsom, as she tried to persuade Conservative party voters to make her their next leader instead of the childless Theresa May. "}],[{"start":31.32,"text":"Her comments sparked a wave of outrage after they appeared in The Times newspaper one Saturday. "},{"start":36.437,"text":"By Monday Leadsom had pulled out of the race. "}],[{"start":39.8,"text":"I keep remembering this every time I read about JD Vance’s rant against vice-president Kamala Harris and other “childless cat ladies” at the top of the Democratic party. "}],[{"start":49.19,"text":"“How does it make any sense that we’ve turned our country over to people who don’t really have a direct stake in it? ”"},{"start":54.207,"text":"asked Vance in a 2021 interview that resurfaced after he became Donald Trump’s running mate. "}],[{"start":59.76,"text":"His comments have prompted an even bigger surge of fury and happily for the Democrats, Vance cannot vanish as easily as Leadsom did because, apart from anything else, it would make Trump look foolish for picking him. "}],[{"start":71.57,"text":"I say “happily” because Vance’s comments are not just astronomically offensive and politically witless, they also betray a serious misunderstanding of where the world is heading in the first half of the 21st century. "}],[{"start":82.74,"text":"It’s well known that birth rates have plummeted in the US and other rich economies across the world. "},{"start":87.81899999999999,"text":"But a number of researchers say one of the chief drivers of this trend is that women are not merely having fewer children, they are increasingly having none at all. "}],[{"start":96.31,"text":"Some experts think childlessness has fuelled most of the drop in fertility in the US over the last couple of decades. "},{"start":102.602,"text":"The share of American women aged between 35 and 44 who have never had a kid rose from 16 per cent in 2012 to 20 per cent in 2022, one recent bit of analysis shows. "}],[{"start":113.98,"text":"Women are only part of the story. "}],[{"start":116.87,"text":"The share of childless Americans under 50, male and female, who say they are unlikely to ever have kids rose to 47 per cent in 2023, a 10 percentage point jump from 2018, a recent Pew study shows. "}],[{"start":130.32,"text":"The reason? "},{"start":131.587,"text":"Most say they simply don’t want to. "}],[{"start":134.23999999999998,"text":"The trend is similar elsewhere. "},{"start":136.469,"text":"Around a third of childless older millennials in the UK say they definitely won’t have a child, while another 20 per cent say they probably won’t. "}],[{"start":144.54,"text":"All this has interesting implications for the working world where those of us in the cat lady category have long been wildly outnumbered. "}],[{"start":151.94,"text":"Consider the always fraught matter of deciding who gets to take holidays when in a team. "},{"start":156.519,"text":"Speaking from personal experience, if you are the only childless employee in a team, it takes a certain level of temerity to insist on taking leave in school holidays if it means a parent of school-aged kids has to keep coming into the office. "},{"start":168.599,"text":"I imagine resistance will be easier once the ranks of the childless grow. "}],[{"start":173.51999999999998,"text":"In some jobs of course, being able to take vacation outside school break times is a perk. "},{"start":178.89899999999997,"text":"Flights and hotels can be cheaper. "},{"start":181.07899999999998,"text":"Roads and beaches are emptier. "}],[{"start":183.46999999999997,"text":"Sadly this does not work so well if you need to be on deck for important events or projects that are often arranged to avoid peak family holiday periods. "},{"start":191.53699999999998,"text":"The rise of childfree workers may well change that scheduling, and also the amount of work assigned. "}],[{"start":197.77999999999997,"text":"About a third of the childless Americans surveyed by Pew said they had been expected to take on extra work or responsibilities. "},{"start":204.34699999999998,"text":"A similar proportion said they were given less flexibility than parents. "}],[{"start":208.68999999999997,"text":"Again, you can imagine this sort of thing changing as the workplace fills with more non-parents. "}],[{"start":214.73999999999998,"text":"Still, it’s swings and roundabouts. "},{"start":217.49399999999997,"text":"Just over a third of those surveyed agreed that not having kids made it easier for them to network outside office hours. "},{"start":223.48699999999997,"text":"And 17 per cent said they had been given more opportunities for important assignments. "}],[{"start":228.90999999999997,"text":"Ultimately, what matters is a demographic shift is under way. "},{"start":232.77699999999996,"text":"The number of non-reproducers is already large and it’s rising, and unfortunately for JD Vance, these people may not have kids but they do have votes. "}],[{"start":240.63999999999996,"text":""}]],"url":"https://creatives.ftacademy.cn/album/166161-1722764573.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

再次陷入危机的大众汽车能走上改革之路吗?

欧洲最大的汽车制造商正与工人和政界人士交战,试图渡过痛苦的电动汽车转型期。

哈里斯的另一个大选对手:通货膨胀

美国选民对高昂生活成本的不满可能决定下周谁将赢得白宫。

Lex专栏:Meta和微软通过季度理智检查

科技巨头今天吹捧真正的胜利,以证明明天的巨额投资是合理的。投资者对此是支持的,但程度有限。

FT社评:英国工党预算——雄心勃勃,前景不明

财政大臣蕾切尔•里夫斯现在必须兑现她的投资计划,否则税收还将进一步增加。

Lex专栏:大众汽车很难走出死胡同

尽管这家汽车制造商计划裁员和关闭工厂,但投资者的担忧是可以理解的。

安谋如何成为人工智能投资热潮中的意外赢家

这家由软银控股的英国芯片设计公司的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍。但它的野心远不止于此。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×